Please select your home edition
Edition
Lloyd Stevenson - Catalyst GT 1456x180px TOP

Hurricane Irma on its way to the Bahamas as a Category 5 Hurricane

by Weather.com on 7 Sep 2017
West end of Paraquita Bay, Tortola half way through Irma. Back side of eye yet to pass. Glenn Ashmore
Hurricane Irma, a potentially catastrophic Category 5 hurricane, is now full speed ahead for the Bahamas and Turks and Caicos before posing a serious threat to Florida and parts of the Southeast beginning this weekend.

(More: Hurricane Central | Impacts In Caribbean)

Below is everything we know about Irma right now, including its latest status, along with potential forecast impacts in the U.S. and the Caribbean Islands.

Irma's Latest Status, Timing

The center of Irma is located less than 340 miles east-southeast of Grand Turk Island and is moving west-northwestward at about 16 mph.



Irma's maximum sustained winds are steady at 185 mph based on data from NOAA and Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft, now for an astounding 34 hours.

(More: Irma's Notable Extremes)

Irma is pulling away from Puerto Rico, and is expected to graze the Dominican Republic and Haiti on Thursday. A sustained wind of 55 mph with a gust to 70 mph was reported at an observing site in San Juan Bay, Puerto Rico on Wednesday evening.



Hurricane warnings have been issued for parts of Puerto Rico, the northern coast of the Dominican Republic and Haiti, the southeastern and central Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands. This includes Vieques and Culebra.

Additionally, a tropical storm warning is in effect for the southern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to the border with Haiti and for the coast of Haiti from south of Le Mole St. Nicholas to Port-Au-Prince. A tropical storm warning is also in effect for the Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin and Las Tunas.

A hurricane watch is also in effect Cuba from Matanzas Province eastward to Guantanamo Province and the northwestern Bahamas.



Low wind shear, increased mid-level moisture and increasing oceanic-heat content favor that Irma will remain a powerful hurricane (Category 4 or stronger) for the next several days, though some intensity fluctuations are likely at times. At this intensity, small deviations in wind speed will not change impacts. A direct hit will be catastrophic.

Given the robust nature of Irma's structure, it is possible that it will retain strength longer than currently expected, potentially into the Florida Straights as a Category 5.

Irma has been a Category 5 hurricane for more than a day and a half, which ranks it as the seventh longest lasting Category 5 in the Atlantic basin, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach. Irma could take a run at the longest lasting Category 5 hurricane by Friday.

For the next three days, Irma will move west-northwest on the south side of a ridge of high pressure called the Bermuda high, centered in the central Atlantic.

(Interactive MAP: Track Irma)

By this weekend, Irma will begin to turn north in the direction of a departing southward dip in the jet stream that will set up in the eastern United States. Where that northward turn occurs will be critical for what impacts Irma may bring to parts of the southeastern United States.

Here's a general overview of the timing for impacts from Irma into this weekend.

Potential Impact Timing

Dominican Republic/Haiti: Thursday; tropical storm force winds will arrive early Thursday in the D.R. and midday Thursday in Haiti
Turks and Caicos: Late Thursday-Friday
Bahamas: Friday-this weekend; tropical storm force winds may arrive as early as late Thursday
Cuba: Friday-this weekend; tropical storm force winds will may arrive as early as Thursday night
Southeast United States: This weekend into early next week, beginning in south Florida Saturday



U.S. Forecast: Watching Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas Closely

While it is still too soon to narrow down specifics on the exact path of Irma's center and eyewall, it is becoming likely that a major hurricane strike on at least part of South Florida, including the Florida Keys, will happen this weekend.

As mentioned before, the vast majority of the forecast guidance indicates Irma will begin to turn more to the north sometime this weekend.

The strength and expansiveness of the Bermuda-Azores high over the Atlantic Ocean and the timing, depth and location of a southward dip in the jet stream near the eastern U.S. will dictate where and when that northward turn occurs.

(More: Why the U.S. Forecast is Uncertain)

According to the latest NHC forecast, the center of Irma may be very close to South Florida by Sunday morning, with conditions going downhill already during the day, Saturday and worsening for southwest Florida on Sunday.

Hurricane watches are likely to be issued on Thursday for portions of the Florida Keys and the Florida peninsula.



However, as the NHC reminds us, average errors in the track of the center of an Atlantic tropical cyclone 4 to 5 days out are between 175 and 225 miles, which can make a large difference in impacts.

(Latest: Governors Declares State of Emergency Ahead of Possible Hurricane Irma Strike)

For now, all residents along the Southeast coast and eastern Gulf Coast, including Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas, should monitor the progress of Irma closely.

Early next week, the possibilities range from the center of Irma being located a couple of hundred miles east of the Florida or Georgia coastline to being in western Georgia.

In addition, Irma's wind field will be large, therefore, dangerous surf and coastal flooding will likely exist throughout the southeastern U.S. coastline even well away from Irma's center by late week.

Forecast: Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Cuba, Bahamas

Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands

The eyewall of Irma, containing the highest, most destructive winds, and the hurricane's outer bands are now pulling away from Puerto Rico.

Tropical-storm-force winds (39-plus mph) will lessen their grip on the island territory during the early morning hours.



Additionally, a storm surge of 2 to 4 feet is possible along the northern coast of Puerto Rico, along with a storm surge of 1 to 3 feet along the southern coast of Puerto Rico.

Conditions should improve quickly by later Thursday morning.



Hispañola, Turks and Caicos, Bahamas and Cuba

Irma will likely pass near Hispañola, the Turks and Caicos, the Bahamas and Cuba late this week into the weekend as a major hurricane.

Go here to keep an eye on the weather for more information and to read this in full

(More: Beware 'I' Hurricanes)

C-Tech 2021 America's Cup 728x90 BOTTOMSea Sure 2025Mackay Boats 728x90 BOTTOM

Related Articles

17th Transat Café L'or Day 7
SVR Lazartigue wriggles throught Doldrums, Ocean50s pass Cape Verde While the ULTIM leaders try to wriggle clear of a testing Doldrums phase and the Ocean Fifty fleet pass the Cape Verde islands led by Basile Bourgnon and Manu Le Roche (Edenred 5) 37 Class 40s restarted their race from La Coruña.
Posted today at 5:58 pm
2025 IKA Youth Worlds at Praia da Vitoria overall
Pianosi and Turienzo triumph in wild Atlantic showdown Terceira, Azores, the island of volcanoes and vast Atlantic skies, provided a breathtaking yet brutal stage for the 2025 Formula Kite Youth World Championships.
Posted today at 5:11 pm
2025 Melges 24 US Nationals Preview
Teams from across the US and around the world will descend on Pensacola, Florida The official countdown to the 2025 US Melges 24 National Championship is under way, and in just two weeks time, teams from across the US and around the world will descend on Pensacola, Florida, for one of the most anticipated events on the Class calendar.
Posted today at 4:18 pm
Marine mammal risk strategies for ocean races
MMAG shares best practices, protocols and resources with ocean racing community and top race events As the frequency and scale of ocean racing events continues to grow, the Marine Mammal Advisory Group (MMAG) is supporting all stakeholders in conservation efforts and risk mitigation concerning marine mammal strikes.
Posted today at 3:05 pm
The Class40s have set off again from La Coruña
The impromptu second leg for the fleet in the Transat Café L'or On the starting line, located at the end of the breakwater in the port of La Coruña, conditions were favorable with 10 to 11 knots of wind. "We're lucky to be sailing under a beautiful sun," said Yann Chateau from race control.
Posted today at 1:31 pm
52 SuperSeries sustainability initiative on course
Specific goals at each venue which contribute to the main target Just as the international 52 SUPER SERIES race teams set their pre-season goals and objectives to achieve their best possible result at the end of the season, so to does the series lay out the sustainability aims and objectives for the year.
Posted today at 9:43 am
2025 J/70 Worlds at Buenos Aires day 4
Shakeup day on the Río de la Plata It was a sunny, beautiful day on the Río de la Plata with a ripping tide that challenged the 71 boats at the J/70 World Championship. The standings continue to invert throughout this series, with eight of 10 planned races recorded.
Posted today at 1:16 am
Triple Crown of Charity Sailing Trophy 2025 winner
Presentation held at the Chesapeake Region Accessible Boating Annapolis Adaptive Boating Centre The highly anticipated 2025 Triple Crown of Charity Sailing Trophy presentation and reception was held at the Chesapeake Region Accessible Boating Annapolis Adaptive Boating Center on October 30th.
Posted on 31 Oct
ILCA Statement on legal proceedings
NZ Court grant PSA interim relief and instructed ILCA to issue the following statement On September 20, 2025, ILCA sent an email titled "ILCA Announcement: Protecting the One-Design Integrity of the Class." Subsequently, Performance Sailcraft Australia (PSA) initiated legal proceedings against ILCA in the High Court of New Zealand.
Posted on 31 Oct
2025 IKA Youth Worlds at Praia da Vitoria Day 4
Youth Worlds build to a climax in wild Azores conditions Strong winds and Atlantic swells off the coast of Terceira made for a bruising day of racing in the 2025 Formula Kite Youth World Championships as the world's top young riders battled the elements and each other for a place in Saturday's Medal Series.
Posted on 31 Oct