Collinson FX: May 19: US buoyed by positive sentiment and growing confidence

by Collinson FX 18 May 18:49 PDT 19 May 2025

NZ Nationals - RS Feva - Murrays Bay - May 11-12, 2025 © Justin Mitchell www.justinmitchell.co.nz - Instagram: @jl_mitchell_

Collinson FX: May 19: Tariffs depress US inflation

Markets rallied into the close of the previous week, buoyed by positive sentiment and growing confidence.

Trump has secured two major trade deals and completed the most successful of official visit to the Middle East, securing Trillions of US$$ investment, into the USA. This coming week will be highlighted by trade data including growth and inflation, while the PBoC and the RBA release their latest interest rate decisions. Over and above this, there will be fireworks on the Geo-Political front.

The US Dollar regained some ground to close out the week, with the EUR drifting back towards 1.1150, while the GBP slipped back below 1.3300.Commodity currencies have been under pressure in the last week, with the AUD looking to surrender 0.6400, while the NZD ended their battle with 0.5900. The weakness in these trade dependent currencies is enhanced by their lack of a trade agreement with the USA.

This coming week will be highlighted by the RBA latest monetary policy decision, and they are expected to resume interest rate cuts. Interest rates remain at a premium, in Australia, as the re-elected Government rearrange the deck chairs.

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Collinson FX: May 19: US buoyed by positive sentiment and growing confidence

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