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Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 24, 2014 - Rate rise hits trade By Collinson FX, , 10:57 AM Thu 24 Jul 2014
July 24, 2014: The KIWI is trading around 0.8670 once again and is likely to be further supported by a rise in interest rates by the RBNZ today. A rise in rates will further impact the economic recovery and this is likely to be reflected in the trade data also released today. Exports and Imports are likely to contract as the RBNZ monetary policy hits the trade economy hard. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 23, 2014 - AUD creeps up By Collinson FX, , 10:57 AM Wed 23 Jul 2014
July 23, 2014: The AUD has slowly climbed back towards 0.9385, while the country is pre-occupied with the Malaysian air crises, with little to divert on the economic front. Geo-Political issues remain central, with no major economic data to divert attention, although Central bank activity will impact. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 22, 2014 - Europe watched By Collinson FX, , 2:28 PM Tue 22 Jul 2014
July 22, 2014: The KIWI was trading just below 0.8690 while the AUD holds below 0.9370. Look for local data release and Global geo-political issues to drive direction. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 19, 2014 - Step into Wonderland By Collinson FX, , 9:11 PM Sun 20 Jul 2014
July 19, 2014: Equity markets regained some of the lost ground overnight to close the week on a high. The shock and horror of the plane crash overshadowed the Israeli escalation of the crises with a ground invasion. Commodities were generally lower, but this failed to deter investors, with the AUD moving towards 0.9400 and the KIWI approaching 0.8700. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 18, 2014 - AUD moves up By Collinson FX, , 8:49 PM Fri 18 Jul 2014
July 18, 2014: The NZD was trading around 0.8670 after recent CPI numbers revealed the extent RBNZ monetary policy was impacting on the economy. Consumer Confidence fell from 3.4% last month, to just 0.6%, revealing the parlous state of the consumer in a tightening market which the RBNZ intend to exacerbate next week. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 17, 2014 - KIWI takes hammering By Collinson FX, , 11:13 PM Thu 17 Jul 2014
July 17, 2014: AUD slipped back to 0.9350. The KIWI took a hammering as the tide of the USD and surprising local inflation data pushed the currency down towards 0.8700. The CPI was well below expectations and this will conflict the premature RBNZ. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 16, 2014 - Oz confirms low rates By Collinson FX, , 1:18 AM Thu 17 Jul 2014
July 16, 2014: The AUD dipped to 0.9370 with the RBA minutes confirming low interest rates to support slack demand and economic challenges. The KIWI slipped back below 0.8800 but does not have the docile interest rate environment of its trading partners. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 15, 2014 - Rising interest hits By Collinson FX, , 10:18 PM Tue 15 Jul 2014
July 15, 2014: NZ House Prices and Sales contracted feeling the full brunt of the RBNZ new loans policy and the rising interest rate strategy. The Housing Sector has lead the recovery of the Consumer and has now hit the wall. The trade sector will be impacted by rising costs of capital and higher exchange rates. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 12, 2014 - KIWI heads to 90c By Collinson FX, , 11:50 AM Sun 13 Jul 2014
July 12, 2014: The KIWI is holding above 0.8800 and will look towards short term targets of 0.9000 before the impact of destructive monetary policy undermines the 'rock star' economy and has a fundamental impact of the long term state of the currency. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 11, 2014 - Portugal bank defaults By Collinson FX, , 12:21 AM Sat 12 Jul 2014
July 11, 2014: Equity market crashed in Europe as panic ensued triggered by yet another banking crises emanating from the previously destructive shores of Portugal. One of Portugals largest Banks, Bank Espírito Santo, was under the spotlight. An associated institution, Espírito Santo International, defaulted on bond payments. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 10, 2014 - KIWI hits higher By Collinson FX, , 1:39 AM Fri 11 Jul 2014
July 10, 2014: The EUR moved up to 1.3640 while the GBP hit 1.7150 again. The AUD was hit by a weaker than expected consumer confidence number. Confidence did rise 1.9%, but expectations were higher, and the currency slipped back although this was reversed with the fall in the USD after the Fed minutes. The AUD again approached 0.9400 and the KIWI hit 0.8825. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 9, 2014 - New stat pushes ANZACs By Collinson FX, , 11:00 PM Wed 9 Jul 2014
July 9, 2014: A slow leak appeared in a rather large equity bubble overnight. The sell-off gained momentum with the DOW plunging back below the record 17,000 level. Nervous investors have been spooked by Banks predicting an end to the biggest monetary expansion in history. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 5, 2014 - AUD jaw boned lower By Collinson FX, , 9:08 PM Sun 6 Jul 2014
July 5, 2014: US Markets were closed to finish the week for the Independence Day holiday. The week was optimistic after a surprisingly good Jobs number on the Thursday. The AUD has been jaw boned lower by the RBA and will open the week trading 0.9350 while the KIWI remains bid around 0.8750. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 4, 2014 - AUD Overvalued By Collinson FX, , 1:33 AM Sat 5 Jul 2014
July 4, 2014: Some of the gloss came off the AUD after Retail Sales contracted 0.5% and the RBA Governor Stevens confirmed their opinion that the AUD/USD is overvalued and should be lower ??. The AUD traded 0.9350 while the KIWI was well supported around 0.8750. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 3, 2014 - KIWI remains strong By Collinson FX, , 1:15 AM Fri 4 Jul 2014
July 3, 2014: The AUD retreated to 0.9440 with a surprising jump in the trade deficit. The deficit jumped from minus A$780m to minus A$ 1,911m, giving pause to a trade lead recovery, impacted by a rising currency. The KIWI remained strong, trading 0.8770, supported by extremely attractive interest rates, and a complicit Central Bank. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 2, 2014 - KIWI rises higher By Collinson FX, , 12:22 PM Wed 2 Jul 2014
July 2, 2014: The RBA left interest unchanged and confirmed moderate growth required interest rate stability. Commentary on a rising AUD was not desired. The AUD broke back above 0.9500 confounding the Central Bank and hitting the trade sector. The KIWI continues to flourish, moving to 0.8775, cheered by the RBNZ, hitting the domestic and trade exposed economy hard. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 1, 2014 - NZ Economy hits wall By Collinson FX, , 10:23 PM Tue 1 Jul 2014
July 1, 2014: Wheeler has embarked on an aggressive monetary policy to raise rates in an effort to combat inflationary pressures and fight the real estate bubble in Auckland. He has succeeded in slowing economic activity, by raising the cost of capital and boosting the KIWI, which has been a body blow to the all-important trade sector. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 28, 2014 - Directional changes By Collinson FX, , 10:41 AM Mon 30 Jun 2014
June 28, 2014: The week ahead has many reasons for some quantum directional changes, with important Employment data out in the US, while the ECB and RBA rate decisions ensure Central Banks dominate. This should be a massive week, but shortened, with the Independence Day holiday on Friday in the USA! ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 27, 2014 - KIWI flies high By Collinson FX, , 9:59 AM Fri 27 Jun 2014
June 27, 2014: The KIWI is flying high, moving up to 0.8770, fuelled by the growing and attractive interest rate differentials. RBNZ Governor Wheeler is suffering collateral damage from his hawkish and presumptuous monetary policy moves. This has long been an error of NZ Central Bankers, acting without patience, thus causing unnecessary volatility and pressures on the currency. ...[more]


Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 26, 2014 - KIWI climbs back By Collinson FX, , 7:12 AM Thu 26 Jun 2014
June 26, 2014: The KIWI regained yesterday's losses and surged back to 0.8730 with interest rate differentials providing incentives to international investors. The gloss will start to fade on the global rock star economy as the misguided and deluded RBNZ impacts the economy with aggressive and destructive interest rate hikes. ...[more]


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