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Collinson FX Market Commentary: August 24, 2012 - Doubting the Polies
By Collinson FX,
3:02 PM Fri 24 Aug 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: August 24, 2012 - Markets began to doubt the determination of European leaders to act to solve the debt/deficit crises engulfing EU states. There has been major statements of support from political leaders and the ECB President. The summit between Merkel and Hollande in Berlin left markets with no real practical solutions. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: August 23, 2012 - AUS's Perfect Storm
By Collinson FX,
6:37 AM Thu 23 Aug 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: August 23, 2012 - Commodity prices and the strong AUD combined with limited Capital and a uncertain political climate with rising tax costs have lead to a perfect storm for mining investment.
This is the single biggest worry for the Australian economy. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: August 22, 2012 - Apple symbolic
By Collinson FX,
6:36 AM Wed 22 Aug 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: August 22, 2012 - In a world where Apple has become the biggest company in US history you have to wonder? A company that produces the iPhone and iPad is selling so many, at such a huge margin, that they are now worth more than many small countries. The company is beloved by stock holders but is symbolic of the current downturn in the US. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: August 21, 2012 - Mixed messages
By Collinson FX,
6:48 AM Tue 21 Aug 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: August 21, 2012 - Mixed messages from Europe sent stocks lower although quiet economic data releases restricted moves. The Bundesbank has reiterated their reservations with regards the ECB's intended Bond buying program. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: August 18, 2012 - Markets flatline
By Collinson FX,
5:10 AM Sat 18 Aug 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: August 18, 2012 - Markets remained flat for the week although closing up on extremely low volume making many nervous. The European debt crises fell from the headlines with Merkel endorsing Draghi's Bond Buying program. Next week will see a summit between the major protagonists of Merkel and Hollande. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: August 17, 2012 - No surprises
By Collinson FX,
10:33 AM Fri 17 Aug 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: August 17, 2012 - Angela Merkel travelled to Canada to discuss the EU debt crises with the PM,Stephen Harper, and reiterated her support for Draghi's Bond buying plan. This was enough to boost markets after moving sideways all week. Equities and Commodities both booked gains despite weak economic data. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: August 16, 2012 - Bad news turns good
By Collinson FX,
8:58 PM Thu 16 Aug 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: August 16, 2012 - Bad news has become good news as world markets stand on their head. Economic data has been nothing less than terrible revealing a story of recession in Europe and no solution to the debt/deficit crises. Growth has now confirmed the recession in Europe but the inability to confront the issues has resulted in a steady decline. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 27, 2012 - KIWI above 0.8100
By Collinson FX,
12:29 AM Sat 28 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 27, 2012 - Equity Markets contined the strong rally overnight with risk appetite spiking fueled by anticipation of further Central Bank intervention. The EUR hit 1.2300 and the AUD rallied strongly towards the 1.0500. The KIWI is now trading above 0.8100 with concerns apparently allayed! ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 25, 2012 - Negative credit watch
By Collinson FX,
8:47 AM Wed 25 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 25, 2012 - Fear gripped European markets after Moody's put Germany, Netherlands and Luxembourg on negative credit watch. The news is grim indeed as these are the nations that have been the bastion of support while all around fall. The AUD dropped to trade 1.0215 and the KIWI to 0.7850. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 24, 2012 - Euros hit panic button
By Collinson FX,
12:08 PM Tue 24 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 24, 2012 - European markets hit the panic button with a freeze on short selling. This is a red flag and was reflected in equity and bond markets. Spanish and Italian bonds hit new highs with spreads at record levels. US and German bonds plunged with the panic flight to safety with short dated bonds reaching negative yields in some quarters. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 23, 2012 - KIWI drops under 0.80c
By Collinson FX,
10:17 AM Mon 23 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 23, 2012 - Equity markets gave up some of the week's gains after more fears over the European debt crises spread across global markets. Commodities drifted lower with demand pushing the AUD back to 1,0370 and the KIWI back under 0.8000. The EUR continued lower to 1.2160 the Spanish 10 year bonds hit 7.27% threatening the very existence of the single currency ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 20, 2012 - The economic paradox
By Collinson FX,
8:03 AM Fri 20 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 19, 2012 - Equity markets remained positive despite the continued flow of weak economic data. The global economy is deteriorating and paradoxically risk appetite rises. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 19, 2012 - Good news from USA
By Collinson FX,
7:50 PM Thu 19 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 19, 2012 - Ben Bernanke testified to Congress again overnight reiterating the Fed's intention to act if the economy stalled and employment declined. QE3 was not imminent though, as there are signs of life in the economy. Housing Starts rose to a high of 6.3% and Weekly Mortgage Applications spiked to 16.9%. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 18, 2012 - US fiscal tax cliff
By Collinson FX,
6:26 AM Wed 18 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 18, 2012 - Bernanke hinted that the Fed was prepared to pull the trigger on QE3 if the markets showed further signs of deterioration. He warned that the 'fiscal tax cliff' faced by the US and the EU debt crises remained significant risks to the economy. NZ Inflation fell to 1% testing the RBNZ band on the downside. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 17, 2012 - Slow global growth
By Collinson FX,
7:09 AM Tue 17 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 17, 2012 - The IMF, has warned of continued slowing global growth unless Europe can address the debt crises. It is hard to see a solution in the short term and little will be done in the US with November Presidential elections.
The best to hope for would be the maintenance of the status quo and sideways moves until political solutions are forthcoming. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 14, 2012 - Black Friday rally
By Collinson FX,
8:55 PM Sat 14 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 14, 2012 - Equity markets erased a week of losses on Black Friday. The rally was not sparked by positive economic news or spanking corporate earnings but because of the oversold nature of markets and expectations of further stimulus. The rise in commodites due to expectations of increasing demand from China boosted the AUD to 1.0222 and the KIWI to 0.7950. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 13, 2012 - Consumer confidence up
By Collinson FX,
12:57 PM Fri 13 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 13, 2012 - The US Budget deficit widened this month as spending and revenue both increased but not proportionately.
The AUD slipped to 1.0135 after the poor data and markets must look at the inept Government wasting a generational opportunity. The KIWI slipped in unison to below 0.7900 despite a 4.4% rise in Consumer Confidence. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 12, 2012 - Taxmageddon looms
By Collinson FX,
8:28 PM Thu 12 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 12, 2012 - Equity markets continued to fall hit by lower earnings and lower expectations around the Fed's QE programs. European markets have been undermined by further bad news, this time from the IMF. They warned that Italy must 'break the debt spiral' as Spain moved to introduce a new package of fiscal reduction. ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 11, 2012 - NZ Home Sales spike
By Collinson FX,
4:01 PM Wed 11 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 11, 2012 - The economic slowdown is now impacting the previously sterling corporate earnings. The EUR pushed to new lows at 1.2250. Further risk aversion has put some pressure on the AUD now down to 1.0175 and the KIWI slipping to 0.7925. NZ Home Sales spiked along with House Prices and now stand at pre-GFC levels fueled by low interest rates and lack of supply ...[more]
Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 10, 2012 - EU talk fest resumes
By Collinson FX,
2:50 PM Tue 10 Jul 2012
Collinson FX market Commentary: July 10, 2012 - Equity markets fell as EU Finance Ministers gather for yet another talk fest to solve the EU debt crises, and more particularly, the single currency. The Chinese CPI fell to 2.2% and PPI dropped 2.1%, reflecting a big fall off in demand and growth. The AUD dipped below 1.0200 with Job advertisements falling. The KIWI followed suit now trading 0.7950. ...[more]
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