sail-world.com
 
 
News Home Cruising Photo Gallery Video Gallery
Sail-World.com : Volvo Ocean Race: The battle tightens as North Cape beckons
Volvo Ocean Race: The battle tightens as North Cape beckons

'Team Telefonica prepare for a sail change, during leg 4 of the Volvo Ocean Race 2011-12, from Sanya, China to Auckland, New Zealand.'    Diego Fructuoso /Team Telefónica/Volvo Ocean Race    Click Here to view large photo

While the fourth leg of the Volvo Ocean Race looks to be Groupama’s to lose, the battle for the other two podium places has tightened over the past 24 hours.

A trough of low pressure in the Tasman Sea may work in favour of both Camper and Puma as they try to make landfall at North Cape.

Using the course routing function of Predictwind which projects up to four weather feeds can be analysed, as opposed to the two feeds to which the Volvo Ocean race navigators are allowed to access.

In the immediate period the fleet is expected to face fresh to strong SE breezes on the final approach to North Cape. Groupama is expected to be sailing in winds in excess of 20knots for the next 24 hours and has the option to stand out into the Tasman Sea, before taking a tack to make landfall at North Cape around 5.30am on Saturday morning NZT.

The winds should begin to ease slightly as she approaches the northern end of New Zealand, and reduce to single digits getting down to just four or five knots. The duration and extent of the softening breeze has the Franck Cammas skippered French entry crossing the finish line late on Saturday night

Leg leader, Groupama will approach North Cape in a fresh easter breeze -  PredictWind.com  

A second set of standard weather feeds paints a rather more optimistic picture of the course options and finishing time for Groupama. One course has her sailing closer to the direct route for North Cape and for her to hold a fresh easterly breeze all the way won the Northland coast, and crossing the finish line in Auckland at a speed of around 16kts at 7.45pm on Saturday evening, local time.

Using the same standard weather data, the overall race leader, Telefonica is expected to finish around 9.00am on Sunday morning, with one of the Predictwind feeds seeing a similar finish time around 11.00am – again caused by an expectation of lighter winds, and a much later finish time from a second Predictwind feed.

A better estimate will be possible as the boats make landfall and it becomes possible, and more accurate, to run Predictwind using a higher resolution coastal weather forecast data.

Camper, currently in fourth place has two markedly different course options (light and bold lines) using four different weather feeds. -  PredictWind.com  

Camper has assumed a position behind overall race leader, Telefonica, and she has a projected finish time of around 2.00pm on Sunday afternoon, or closer to midnight if the winds stay light for the final run down the coast to Auckland. But the second set of standard weather feeds brings a prediction that she will be able to sail close to the direct line for North Cape, tacking in the easterly breeze of 16kts at around 9.00am on Saturday morning and having a good run down the coast to finish around 11.00am on Sunday morning.

If the same set of weather data is accurate, then Puma will finish an hour or two ahead of Camper. However the margins are quite tight, and if the prognosis of a light run down the Northland coast does prove to be correct, then Camper could have a reasonable shot at third place.

The battle for fifth and sixth place also looks to be closer between Team Sanya and Abu Dhabi than the Volvo Ocean Race calculations, based on an instant snap shot of positions radiused from Auckland, they are predicted to finish Sunday afternoon, or Sunday night.


by Richard Gladwell

  

Click on the FB Like link to post this story to your FB wall

http://www.sail-world.com/index.cfm?nid=94678

12:34 PM Thu 8 Mar 2012GMT


Click here for printer friendly version
Click here to send us feedback or comments about this story.

Click for further information on
PredictWind.com
2011-12 Volvo Ocean Race

Related News Stories:

08 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race: The Race Village is opened in Auckland
08 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race - Squalls and a shakeup
08 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race team Puma Ocean Racing drop into third
08 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race team Groupama 4 hold onto lead
07 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race: Big ecomomic benefit and visitors confirmed for NZ
07 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race - Big gains for Puma Ocean Racing
07 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race - Hang on for the bumpy ride
07 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race - Groupama 4 increase lead
06 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race - Puma's Mar Mostro prepared
06 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race - Will the French lose out?
MORE STORIES ...






News - USA and the World

A complete recap of the most successful Melges 20 World Championship by International Audi Melges 20 Class Association,






ISAF Santander - Upwards path for Austrian women's 470 crew + video by Luissa Smith, International 470 Class Association,
























2014 Rolex Big Boat Series - Farr 40 Day 4 by William Wagner, San Francisco




































Volvo Ocean Race 2014-15 - Tales from the extreme
Volvo Ocean Race: Latest starter wins opening race
2014 J/70 World Championship - Healy, Abdullah, Becker and Borges win
2014 Rolex Big Boat Series - Full-blown, once again
ISAF Worlds - Americans jump up Laser and Laser Radial leaderboard
2014 Rolex Big Boat Series - Farr 40 Day 3
America's Cup: Luna Rossa sailing with two foiling AC45's + Video
Extreme Sailing: Emirates Team NZ retain second overall
ISAF Sailing Worlds, Santander - Rio Olympic Laser spots snapped up
Rolex Swan Cup - All set for final showdown
Upper Midwest sailors need help to take it to the next level
ISAF Sailing World Championships - RS:X action begins in Santander
ISAF Sailing Worlds, Santander - Americans rise in Laser and Radial
Extreme Sailing Series - A remarkable penultimate day’s racing + Video
Marseille One Design - GC32 GDF Suez unstoppable in the light
Rolex Swan Cup - Day 3 images by Carlo Borlenghi
ISAF Sailing World Championships - Images of the leaders in Santander
Rolex Big Boat Series - Good day for Double Trouble
Rolex Big Boat Series - Day 2 images by Erik Simonson
Royal Cup Marina Ibiza - TP52 fleet ready for tricky race tracks
Rolex Big Boat Series - Plenty maintains lead   
2014 Asia Pacific Student Cup - Count down begins   
Extreme Sailing Series: Live coverage of Day 3 - view here   
Volvo Ocean Race 2014-15 - Going away   
Volvo Ocean Race 2014-15 - Practice makes perfect   
2014 J/70 World Championship - Contrasting conditions on Day 4   
Rolex Big Boat Series - 50 years of big boat racing: a retrospective   
2014 Rolex Big Boat Series - Day 2   
Snipe Western Hemisphere and Orient Champ: Rios takes the Championship   
Volvo Ocean Race: Leg Zero signals start of the significant racing   
Extreme Sailing Series: Physically demanding racing for BAR on Day 2   
Emirates Team NZ: Holding second overall after Day 2 in Istanbul   
Extreme Sailing Series: A force to be reckoned with in Istanbul +Video   
ISAF Sailing Worlds - Day 1 images by Jesus Renedo and Pedro Martinez   
Marseille One Design: GC32's Armin Strom storms ahead on day 2 + Video   
ISAF Sailing World Championships - Racing underway in Santander +Video   
ISAF Sailing Worlds, Santander - Erika Reineke claims Radial race win   
Santander Worlds 2014 Mat Belcher (Part II) *Feature   
Rolex Swan Cup - Mistral keeps fleet shoreside   
PWA Cold Hawaii World Cup rescued by wave of local support   


For this week's complete news stories select    Last 7 Days
   Search All News
For last month's complete news stories select    Last 30 Days
   Archive News







Sail-World.com  


















Switch Default Region to:

Social Media

Asia

Australia

Canada

Europe

New Zealand

United Kingdom


http://www.sail-world.com/event_images/image/Twitter_logo_small.png http://www.sail-world.com/event_images/image/FaceBook-icon.png  http://www.sail-world.com/event_images/image/RSS-Icon.png

United States

Cruising Northern

Cruising Southern

MarineBusiness World

PowerBoat World

FishingBoating World

 

Contact

Commercial

News

Search

Contact Us

Advertisers Information

Submit news/events

Search Stories/Text

Feedback

Advertisers Directory

Newsletter Archive

Photo Gallery

 

Banner Advertising Details

Newsletter Subscribe

Video Gallery

Policies

 

 

 

Privacy Policy

 

 


Cookie Policy

 

 



This site and its contents are © Copyright TetraMedia and/or the original author, photographer etc. All Rights Reserved.  Photographs are copyright by law.  If you wish to use or buy a photograph contact the photographer directly.
XLXL NEW US
LocalAds   DE  ES  FR  IT