sail-world.com
 
 
News Home Cruising Photo Gallery Video Gallery
Sail-World.com : Volvo Ocean Race: The battle tightens as North Cape beckons
Volvo Ocean Race: The battle tightens as North Cape beckons

'Team Telefonica prepare for a sail change, during leg 4 of the Volvo Ocean Race 2011-12, from Sanya, China to Auckland, New Zealand.'    Diego Fructuoso /Team Telefónica/Volvo Ocean Race    Click Here to view large photo

While the fourth leg of the Volvo Ocean Race looks to be Groupama’s to lose, the battle for the other two podium places has tightened over the past 24 hours.

A trough of low pressure in the Tasman Sea may work in favour of both Camper and Puma as they try to make landfall at North Cape.

Using the course routing function of Predictwind which projects up to four weather feeds can be analysed, as opposed to the two feeds to which the Volvo Ocean race navigators are allowed to access.

In the immediate period the fleet is expected to face fresh to strong SE breezes on the final approach to North Cape. Groupama is expected to be sailing in winds in excess of 20knots for the next 24 hours and has the option to stand out into the Tasman Sea, before taking a tack to make landfall at North Cape around 5.30am on Saturday morning NZT.

The winds should begin to ease slightly as she approaches the northern end of New Zealand, and reduce to single digits getting down to just four or five knots. The duration and extent of the softening breeze has the Franck Cammas skippered French entry crossing the finish line late on Saturday night

Leg leader, Groupama will approach North Cape in a fresh easter breeze -  PredictWind.com  

A second set of standard weather feeds paints a rather more optimistic picture of the course options and finishing time for Groupama. One course has her sailing closer to the direct route for North Cape and for her to hold a fresh easterly breeze all the way won the Northland coast, and crossing the finish line in Auckland at a speed of around 16kts at 7.45pm on Saturday evening, local time.

Using the same standard weather data, the overall race leader, Telefonica is expected to finish around 9.00am on Sunday morning, with one of the Predictwind feeds seeing a similar finish time around 11.00am – again caused by an expectation of lighter winds, and a much later finish time from a second Predictwind feed.

A better estimate will be possible as the boats make landfall and it becomes possible, and more accurate, to run Predictwind using a higher resolution coastal weather forecast data.

Camper, currently in fourth place has two markedly different course options (light and bold lines) using four different weather feeds. -  PredictWind.com  

Camper has assumed a position behind overall race leader, Telefonica, and she has a projected finish time of around 2.00pm on Sunday afternoon, or closer to midnight if the winds stay light for the final run down the coast to Auckland. But the second set of standard weather feeds brings a prediction that she will be able to sail close to the direct line for North Cape, tacking in the easterly breeze of 16kts at around 9.00am on Saturday morning and having a good run down the coast to finish around 11.00am on Sunday morning.

If the same set of weather data is accurate, then Puma will finish an hour or two ahead of Camper. However the margins are quite tight, and if the prognosis of a light run down the Northland coast does prove to be correct, then Camper could have a reasonable shot at third place.

The battle for fifth and sixth place also looks to be closer between Team Sanya and Abu Dhabi than the Volvo Ocean Race calculations, based on an instant snap shot of positions radiused from Auckland, they are predicted to finish Sunday afternoon, or Sunday night.


by Richard Gladwell

  

Click on the FB Like link to post this story to your FB wall

http://www.sail-world.com/index.cfm?nid=94678

12:34 PM Thu 8 Mar 2012GMT


Click here for printer friendly version
Click here to send us feedback or comments about this story.

Click for further information on
PredictWind.com
2011-12 Volvo Ocean Race

Related News Stories:

08 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race: The Race Village is opened in Auckland
08 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race - Squalls and a shakeup
08 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race team Puma Ocean Racing drop into third
08 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race team Groupama 4 hold onto lead
07 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race: Big ecomomic benefit and visitors confirmed for NZ
07 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race - Big gains for Puma Ocean Racing
07 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race - Hang on for the bumpy ride
07 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race - Groupama 4 increase lead
06 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race - Puma's Mar Mostro prepared
06 Mar 2012  Volvo Ocean Race - Will the French lose out?
MORE STORIES ...






News - USA and the World

























America's Cup: Challenger calls Competitor Meeting ahead of deadline *Feature by Richard Gladwell Sail-World.com/nz,










































Vestas Sailrocket 3 - The journey beckons
Clipper Round the World - London to provide emotional heroes welcome
ISAF Youth Worlds - Italians to lead RS:X fleet in Tavira
Vestas Sailrocket 3 - Over the Horizon
Foiling Week - Italian Moth Championship - Final results
NYYC Race Week - Yachting history on display
Rescued sailors reach shore after dramatic ocean rescue
Half Ton Classics Cup: Swuzzlebubble out front on Day 1 + Video
New York Yacht Club Race Week - Yachting history on display
Volvo Cork Week - Thrilling conditions welcome international fleet
Nacra 17 Europeans: Success for Italy's Bissaro and Sicouri
America's Cup: 2017 venue short-list reduced to two Cities
Formula Windsurfing Youth and Master Worlds overall
49er and 49erFX Europeans: Pitfalls aplenty on day 1 + Video
ISAF Youth Worlds - Laser Radial sailors look to join list of legends
Coville soon to chase solo circumnavigation record in giant trimaran
Fierce competition at the Meanline Fins Slalom Challenge
Volvo Ocean Race - Team Brunel opt for experienced winner
Bakewell-White supermaxi designed to take Transpac's Barn Door Trophy *Feature
Crew rescued by navy patrol from J/111 racer after Mayday in storm
Team Alvimedica practice in Newport, RI - Photos   
18 foot skiff European Championship (Open Europeans) - Final results   
Nacra 17 European Championships - No action on day 1   
ISAF Youth Worlds - 29er and SL16 sailors prepare for battle + Video   
Volvo Ocean Race: Eight new crew members named by teams   
Volvo Ocean Race: New additions to Spanish team announced   
2014 Cape Panwa Hotel Phuket Raceweek - Phuket Island is ready to host   
PWA Awaza World Cup - Cyril Moussilmani and Delphine Cousin on top   
Foiling Week - Moth Class Italian Open Championship Day 2   
America's Cup: Luna Rossa foiling in AC45s at their Italian base   
Star World Championship - Germans claim dramatic win in Malcesine   
PWA Awaza World Cup - Down to the wire in Turkmenistan   
Route Halifax Saint-Pierre - Off to France!   
Nacra 17 Europeans - La Grande Motte back in Olympic classes arena   
Stena Match Cup Sweden - Hansen hat trick in Marstrand + Video   
Route Halifax Saint-Pierre Race keeps an eye on Arthur   
World Match Racing Tour: See the Finals replay at the Stena Match Cup   
Newport International Boat Show unveils exciting 'At The Helm' Program   
Stena Match Cup Sweden - First blood to Hansen over Canfield + Video   
Star World Championship - Americans claim race win in Malcesine   


For this week's complete news stories select    Last 7 Days
   Search All News
For last month's complete news stories select    Last 30 Days
   Archive News







Sail-World.com  


















Switch Default Region to:

Social Media

Asia

Australia

Canada

Europe

New Zealand

United Kingdom


http://www.sail-world.com/event_images/image/Twitter_logo_small.png http://www.sail-world.com/event_images/image/FaceBook-icon.png  http://www.sail-world.com/event_images/image/RSS-Icon.png

United States

Cruising Northern

Cruising Southern

MarineBusiness World

PowerBoat World

FishingBoating World

 

Contact

Commercial

News

Search

Contact Us

Advertisers Information

Submit news/events

Search Stories/Text

Feedback

Advertisers Directory

Newsletter Archive

Photo Gallery

 

Banner Advertising Details

Newsletter Subscribe

Video Gallery

Policies

 

 

 

Privacy Policy

 

 


Cookie Policy

 

 



This site and its contents are © Copyright TetraMedia and/or the original author, photographer etc. All Rights Reserved.  Photographs are copyright by law.  If you wish to use or buy a photograph contact the photographer directly.
XLXL WAS US
LocalAds   DE  ES  FR  IT