sail-world.com
 
 
News Home Cruising Photo Gallery Video Gallery
Sail-World.com : Predictwind tips new record for Auckland Fiji Race for multihulls
Predictwind tips new record for Auckland Fiji Race for multihulls


'TeamVodafoneSailing predicted to set new record in 2013 Auckland Fiji Race'    Suellen Hurling ©    Click Here to view large photo

Crystal ball gazing before a race is a sailor's favourite past time and now that we have programs like PredictWind.com to give us a good idea of what is going to happen out there on the blue yonder, it is even more meaningful.

According to PredictWind.com, Metvuw, and Metservice the conditions for the start of the race will be light: Variable even, with less than five knots from the West to escort the boats out of the Waitemata Harbour.

But 24 hours into the race, the breeze will pick up, from a North Easterly direction as the fleet moves up the coast. Once clear of Auckland, according to PredictWind, the boats will probably only encounter moderate breezes.

We ran the numbers using PredictWind's weather routing service* - which helps you decide the fastest way to sail a race - and this is what we came up with for entrants starting on Saturday:

TeamVodafoneSailing

Time to finish: 3 days 6 hr 22 minutes / 3 days 4 hrs 30minutes
Distance traveled: 1192.1nm / 1299.5nm
Corrected finish time: N/A for multihulls

According to PredictWind, an Orma 60 such as PredictWind, will be arriving at the finish line early in the evening of Tuesday 4 June, and comfortably setting a new record. The start of the race will be slow, but by morning tea time on Sunday, the boat could be making speeds of 13-18 knots and high averages will be maintained for most of the race, reaching a potential peak speed of more than 30 knots, on 3 June. The boat may have to hunt for this boat speed by moving well to the east of the rhumb line.

V5

Time to finish: 5 days, 1 hr, 58 minutes / 5 days, 13 hours, 2 minutes
Distance traveled: 1203nm / 1272.8 nm
Corrected finish time (PWC): 142 hours

V5 will probably finish outside of the record time set by Emirates Team New Zealand’s Camper two years ago because the winds - while not ultra light, will be moderate throughout with limited opportunity for boat speeds of above twelve knots until Wednesday. PredictWind suggests that V5 will do best by staying to the east of the Rhumbline. Its maximum boatspeed will be about 15 knots on the last few hours into the finish, according to the PWG model, but less on the PWC model.

Equilibrium

Time to finish: 5 days 6 hours 15 minutes / 5 days 14 hours / 8 minutes
Distance traveled: 1206nm / 1214.3 nm
Corrected finish time (PWC): 133 hours

As a heavier boat, Equillibrium may be best off sailing a close to rhumb line course, says PredictWind’s online weather router. The boat will not sail that much more distance than it needs to, looking for optimum boat speed. In the best scenario, it will be holding 11s and 12s for much of the race, only dropping below 10 knots in the first 18 hours of racing, and for 24 hours from the evening of 3 June. The South Easterly breezes will be fairly consistently light to moderate throughout the passage.

Squealer

Time to finish: 6 days 7 hours 10 minutes / 6 days 6 hours 39 minutes
Distance traveled: 1185nm / 1316 nm
Corrected finish time (PWC): 130 hours

Squealer is the smallest boat in the fleet, but has a great wardrobe of spinnakers and gennakers that could mean, with clever sailing, it gets a great race. The PWC weather model tells the boat to head well west, and the PWG model has it sailing a similar line to its bigger competitors, slightly to the east of a straight line course, but both agree that it will finish at dinner time on 7 June. If the boat does go west, it will sail at 8 or 9 knots for nearly the whole race. If it goes right, its speed will dip down to four knots on the third morning, but will be up over 10 knots for most of the last three days.

Wild Card

Time to finish: 6 days 0 hours 52 minutes / 6 days 7 hours 13 minutes
Distance traveled: 1188nm / 1268 nm
Corrected finish time (PWC): 130 hours

Wild Card will be sure and steady on its race north, and once it clears Auckland should hold onto speeds of 8 - 10 knots for the entirety of its journey - reaching a little higher if it follows the PWC recommendation of heading west to finish in a very respectable time of just over six days.

Outrageous Fortune

Time to finish: 6 days 0 hours 52 minutes / 6 days 7 hours 13 minutes
Distance traveled: 1188nm / 1268 nm
Corrected finish time (PWC): 125 hours

Based on the same polars that we have used for Wild Card, Outrageous Fortune is also expected to finish in just over six days, according to PredictWind’s PWC model. It will be interesting to see how close the racing is, particularly with Squealer, despite having very different performance characteristics, expected to arrive in Navula Passage - the location of the finish line - at about the same time. If Outrageous Fortune puts its faith in the PWC weather model and heads west, it will average slightly lower speeds in the first three days, then see its boat speed bumped up during days five and six, for a terrific result on handicap.


*PredictWind utilises two wind models, and the times relate to the PWC and PWG predictions respectively. For each prediction, we have used polars either for the boat concerned, or for the closest matching boat already in the system, and optimised the voyage for Fastest Time. If a boat’s polars were not installed with PredictWind, we agreed on a close match. Projected handicap times are rounded to the nearest hour.


by Zoe Hawkins

  

Click on the FB Like link to post this story to your FB wall

http://www.sail-world.com/index.cfm?nid=110016

12:17 PM Fri 31 May 2013GMT


Click here for printer friendly version
Click here to send us feedback or comments about this story.


Related News Stories:

24 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: Strong breeze again for Race 7 - PredictWind
23 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: Strong breeze for Race 6 - PredictWind
21 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: Moderate breeze again for Day 5 - PredictWind
20 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: Moderate breeze for Day 4 - PredictWind
19 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: A lovely sea breeze for Day 3 - PredictWind
17 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: Big rigs again for Day 2 - PredictWind
16 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: Big rigs for Day 1 - PredictWind
18 Oct 2012  Coastal Classic: New tracking app announced from Predictwind
16 Oct 2012  America's Cup: Emirates Team NZ sailing in 35kt winds
16 Oct 2012  Coastal Classic: Great record breaking forecast treated with caution
MORE STORIES ...






News - USA and the World









Audi Melges 20 World Championship - Final race to decide champion by International Audi Melges 20 Class Association,










Fort Lauderdale International Boat Show - 13 things to See and do by Fort Lauderdale International Boat Show,




Volvo Ocean Race: Update from Team Vestas Wind in images by Richard Gladwell/Sail-World.com/nz,








Audi Melges 20 World Championship - Classic Garda conditions on day 2 by International Audi Melges 20 Class Association,
























Audi Melges 20 World Championship - Alessandro Rombelli's 'STIG' leads by International Audi Melges 20 Class Association,












Audi Melges 20 World Championship - Day 1 images by Max Ranchi
Clagett Regatta names first Executive Director
Transatlantic Race - Fleet expanded for 2015 edition
IFDS World Championship overall
Anna Tunnicliffe: Alinghi finishes second - Extreme Sailing Series
2014 18' Skiff International Regatta - Day 2
2014 Audi Melges 20 World Championship - It's go time in Garda
2nd Annual Keith Dinsmoor Regatta September 13-14
Aldo Alessio Regatta - Three days of tight racing
PWA Alacati World Cup - First blood to Van Der Steen and Offringa
Oakcliff Sailing hosts the Nacra 17, 49er and 49erFX Nationals + Video
International 18ft Skiff Regatta underway on San Francisco Bay
Maxi Yacht Rolex Cup 2014 - Quality fleet for Maxi Classic
Sailing Champions League - which is Europe's best sailing club?
Weta fun at the Wine & Roses Regatta
Extreme Sailing Series: The Wave, Muscat claims victory on Cardiff Bay
International 14 World Championships 2015: Not just for boys
Rio de Janeiro achieves 50% treatment of sewage outflow *Feature
2014 AWT Quatro Desert Showdown - Event memorable videos
2014 18' Skiff Int Regatta: Day 1 at San Francisco - Reversal on beach
Emirates Team NZ: Last race boost cannot save team from table bottom   
PWA Alacati World Cup - Furious slalom is upon us   
J/111 World Championships - The Winner is Shmokin Joe!   
J/24 US National Championship - Victory for Will Welles’ Cougar   
Extreme Sailing Series: View the Final Day's action - Replay   
NYYC Grandmasters Team Race - Reign continues for Noroton Yacht Club   
WSSR announces new World Record Around Britain and Ireland   
IFDS Worlds 2014 - Final day photos by Tim Wilkes   
2014 Detroit Cup - Morvan wins   
Newport Bucket Regatta 2014 -Images by George Bekris   
IFDS Worlds 2014 - Final report: USA qualifies for Rio 2016   
Extreme Sailing Series: Absent With-Out Leave – Ben Ainslie Racing   
2014 IFDS World Championship - New champions claim medals   
2014 IFDS World Championships - Sunday’s race images by Tim Wilkes   
Shark World Championships underway in Toronto   
Anna Tunnicliffe: Alinghi second o'all - Extreme Sailing Series, Day 3   
Formula Kite World Championships - Nocher and Bridge crowned Champions   
Emirates Team NZ: Frustrating Day 3 in Extreme Sailing Series, Cardiff   
Extreme Sailing Series: Light winds help The Wave Muscat - Day 3   
Extreme Sailing Series 2014 Act five - Absent without leave – the wind   


For this week's complete news stories select    Last 7 Days
   Search All News
For last month's complete news stories select    Last 30 Days
   Archive News







Sail-World.com  


















Switch Default Region to:

Social Media

Asia

Australia

Canada

Europe

New Zealand

United Kingdom


http://www.sail-world.com/event_images/image/Twitter_logo_small.png http://www.sail-world.com/event_images/image/FaceBook-icon.png  http://www.sail-world.com/event_images/image/RSS-Icon.png

United States

Cruising Northern

Cruising Southern

MarineBusiness World

PowerBoat World

FishingBoating World

 

Contact

Commercial

News

Search

Contact Us

Advertisers Information

Submit news/events

Search Stories/Text

Feedback

Advertisers Directory

Newsletter Archive

Photo Gallery

 

Banner Advertising Details

Newsletter Subscribe

Video Gallery

Policies

 

 

 

Privacy Policy

 

 


Cookie Policy

 

 



This site and its contents are © Copyright TetraMedia and/or the original author, photographer etc. All Rights Reserved.  Photographs are copyright by law.  If you wish to use or buy a photograph contact the photographer directly.
XLXL WAS US
LocalAds   DE  ES  FR  IT