sail-world.com
 
 
News Home Cruising Photo Gallery Video Gallery
Sail-World.com : Predictwind tips new record for Auckland Fiji Race for multihulls
Predictwind tips new record for Auckland Fiji Race for multihulls


'TeamVodafoneSailing predicted to set new record in 2013 Auckland Fiji Race'    Suellen Hurling ©    Click Here to view large photo

Crystal ball gazing before a race is a sailor's favourite past time and now that we have programs like PredictWind.com to give us a good idea of what is going to happen out there on the blue yonder, it is even more meaningful.

According to PredictWind.com, Metvuw, and Metservice the conditions for the start of the race will be light: Variable even, with less than five knots from the West to escort the boats out of the Waitemata Harbour.

But 24 hours into the race, the breeze will pick up, from a North Easterly direction as the fleet moves up the coast. Once clear of Auckland, according to PredictWind, the boats will probably only encounter moderate breezes.

We ran the numbers using PredictWind's weather routing service* - which helps you decide the fastest way to sail a race - and this is what we came up with for entrants starting on Saturday:

TeamVodafoneSailing

Time to finish: 3 days 6 hr 22 minutes / 3 days 4 hrs 30minutes
Distance traveled: 1192.1nm / 1299.5nm
Corrected finish time: N/A for multihulls

According to PredictWind, an Orma 60 such as PredictWind, will be arriving at the finish line early in the evening of Tuesday 4 June, and comfortably setting a new record. The start of the race will be slow, but by morning tea time on Sunday, the boat could be making speeds of 13-18 knots and high averages will be maintained for most of the race, reaching a potential peak speed of more than 30 knots, on 3 June. The boat may have to hunt for this boat speed by moving well to the east of the rhumb line.

V5

Time to finish: 5 days, 1 hr, 58 minutes / 5 days, 13 hours, 2 minutes
Distance traveled: 1203nm / 1272.8 nm
Corrected finish time (PWC): 142 hours

V5 will probably finish outside of the record time set by Emirates Team New Zealand’s Camper two years ago because the winds - while not ultra light, will be moderate throughout with limited opportunity for boat speeds of above twelve knots until Wednesday. PredictWind suggests that V5 will do best by staying to the east of the Rhumbline. Its maximum boatspeed will be about 15 knots on the last few hours into the finish, according to the PWG model, but less on the PWC model.

Equilibrium

Time to finish: 5 days 6 hours 15 minutes / 5 days 14 hours / 8 minutes
Distance traveled: 1206nm / 1214.3 nm
Corrected finish time (PWC): 133 hours

As a heavier boat, Equillibrium may be best off sailing a close to rhumb line course, says PredictWind’s online weather router. The boat will not sail that much more distance than it needs to, looking for optimum boat speed. In the best scenario, it will be holding 11s and 12s for much of the race, only dropping below 10 knots in the first 18 hours of racing, and for 24 hours from the evening of 3 June. The South Easterly breezes will be fairly consistently light to moderate throughout the passage.

Squealer

Time to finish: 6 days 7 hours 10 minutes / 6 days 6 hours 39 minutes
Distance traveled: 1185nm / 1316 nm
Corrected finish time (PWC): 130 hours

Squealer is the smallest boat in the fleet, but has a great wardrobe of spinnakers and gennakers that could mean, with clever sailing, it gets a great race. The PWC weather model tells the boat to head well west, and the PWG model has it sailing a similar line to its bigger competitors, slightly to the east of a straight line course, but both agree that it will finish at dinner time on 7 June. If the boat does go west, it will sail at 8 or 9 knots for nearly the whole race. If it goes right, its speed will dip down to four knots on the third morning, but will be up over 10 knots for most of the last three days.

Wild Card

Time to finish: 6 days 0 hours 52 minutes / 6 days 7 hours 13 minutes
Distance traveled: 1188nm / 1268 nm
Corrected finish time (PWC): 130 hours

Wild Card will be sure and steady on its race north, and once it clears Auckland should hold onto speeds of 8 - 10 knots for the entirety of its journey - reaching a little higher if it follows the PWC recommendation of heading west to finish in a very respectable time of just over six days.

Outrageous Fortune

Time to finish: 6 days 0 hours 52 minutes / 6 days 7 hours 13 minutes
Distance traveled: 1188nm / 1268 nm
Corrected finish time (PWC): 125 hours

Based on the same polars that we have used for Wild Card, Outrageous Fortune is also expected to finish in just over six days, according to PredictWind’s PWC model. It will be interesting to see how close the racing is, particularly with Squealer, despite having very different performance characteristics, expected to arrive in Navula Passage - the location of the finish line - at about the same time. If Outrageous Fortune puts its faith in the PWC weather model and heads west, it will average slightly lower speeds in the first three days, then see its boat speed bumped up during days five and six, for a terrific result on handicap.


*PredictWind utilises two wind models, and the times relate to the PWC and PWG predictions respectively. For each prediction, we have used polars either for the boat concerned, or for the closest matching boat already in the system, and optimised the voyage for Fastest Time. If a boat’s polars were not installed with PredictWind, we agreed on a close match. Projected handicap times are rounded to the nearest hour.


by Zoe Hawkins

  

Click on the FB Like link to post this story to your FB wall

http://www.sail-world.com/index.cfm?nid=110016

12:17 PM Fri 31 May 2013GMT


Click here for printer friendly version
Click here to send us feedback or comments about this story.


Related News Stories:

24 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: Strong breeze again for Race 7 - PredictWind
23 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: Strong breeze for Race 6 - PredictWind
21 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: Moderate breeze again for Day 5 - PredictWind
20 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: Moderate breeze for Day 4 - PredictWind
19 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: A lovely sea breeze for Day 3 - PredictWind
17 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: Big rigs again for Day 2 - PredictWind
16 Feb 2013  JJ Giltinan 18ft Skiffs: Big rigs for Day 1 - PredictWind
18 Oct 2012  Coastal Classic: New tracking app announced from Predictwind
16 Oct 2012  America's Cup: Emirates Team NZ sailing in 35kt winds
16 Oct 2012  Coastal Classic: Great record breaking forecast treated with caution
MORE STORIES ...






News - USA and the World





A complete recap of the most successful Melges 20 World Championship by International Audi Melges 20 Class Association,












ISAF Santander - Upwards path for Austrian women's 470 crew + video by Luissa Smith, International 470 Class Association,
























2014 Rolex Big Boat Series - Farr 40 Day 4 by William Wagner, San Francisco


























GBR aiming for first ever Nacra 17 Games berth at Santander Worlds
Volvo Ocean Race: Man and sail overboard as Leg 0 serves up drama
ISAF Sailing World Championships Santander 2014 – Images by Dan Ibsen
Santander Worlds – already a spectator success
ISAF Sailing World Championships Santander 2014 - Day 3 morning report
Volvo Ocean Race 2014-15 - Tales from the extreme
Volvo Ocean Race: Latest starter wins opening race
2014 J/70 World Championship - Healy, Abdullah, Becker and Borges win
2014 Rolex Big Boat Series - Full-blown, once again
ISAF Worlds - Americans jump up Laser and Laser Radial leaderboard
2014 Rolex Big Boat Series - Farr 40 Day 3
America's Cup: Luna Rossa sailing with two foiling AC45's + Video
Extreme Sailing: Emirates Team NZ retain second overall
ISAF Sailing Worlds, Santander - Rio Olympic Laser spots snapped up
Rolex Swan Cup - All set for final showdown
Upper Midwest sailors need help to take it to the next level
ISAF Sailing World Championships - RS:X action begins in Santander
ISAF Sailing Worlds, Santander - Americans rise in Laser and Radial
Extreme Sailing Series - A remarkable penultimate day’s racing + Video
Marseille One Design - GC32 GDF Suez unstoppable in the light
Rolex Swan Cup - Day 3 images by Carlo Borlenghi   
ISAF Sailing World Championships - Images of the leaders in Santander   
Rolex Big Boat Series - Good day for Double Trouble   
Rolex Big Boat Series - Day 2 images by Erik Simonson   
Royal Cup Marina Ibiza - TP52 fleet ready for tricky race tracks   
Rolex Big Boat Series - Plenty maintains lead   
2014 Asia Pacific Student Cup - Count down begins   
Extreme Sailing Series: Live coverage of Day 3 - view here   
Volvo Ocean Race 2014-15 - Going away   
Volvo Ocean Race 2014-15 - Practice makes perfect   
2014 J/70 World Championship - Contrasting conditions on Day 4   
Rolex Big Boat Series - 50 years of big boat racing: a retrospective   
2014 Rolex Big Boat Series - Day 2   
Snipe Western Hemisphere and Orient Champ: Rios takes the Championship   
Volvo Ocean Race: Leg Zero signals start of the significant racing   
Extreme Sailing Series: Physically demanding racing for BAR on Day 2   
Emirates Team NZ: Holding second overall after Day 2 in Istanbul   
Extreme Sailing Series: A force to be reckoned with in Istanbul +Video   
ISAF Sailing Worlds - Day 1 images by Jesus Renedo and Pedro Martinez   
Marseille One Design: GC32's Armin Strom storms ahead on day 2 + Video   


For this week's complete news stories select    Last 7 Days
   Search All News
For last month's complete news stories select    Last 30 Days
   Archive News







Sail-World.com  


















Switch Default Region to:

Social Media

Asia

Australia

Canada

Europe

New Zealand

United Kingdom


http://www.sail-world.com/event_images/image/Twitter_logo_small.png http://www.sail-world.com/event_images/image/FaceBook-icon.png  http://www.sail-world.com/event_images/image/RSS-Icon.png

United States

Cruising Northern

Cruising Southern

MarineBusiness World

PowerBoat World

FishingBoating World

 

Contact

Commercial

News

Search

Contact Us

Advertisers Information

Submit news/events

Search Stories/Text

Feedback

Advertisers Directory

Newsletter Archive

Photo Gallery

 

Banner Advertising Details

Newsletter Subscribe

Video Gallery

Policies

 

 

 

Privacy Policy

 

 


Cookie Policy

 

 



This site and its contents are © Copyright TetraMedia and/or the original author, photographer etc. All Rights Reserved.  Photographs are copyright by law.  If you wish to use or buy a photograph contact the photographer directly.
XLXL NEW US
LocalAds   DE  ES  FR  IT