Please select your home edition
Edition
Naiad

Telcoinabox Airlie Beach Race Week 2012 day 5 weather

by Kenn Batt on 15 Aug 2012
Telcoinabox Airlie Beach Race Week 2012 Weather Kenn Batt
Telcoinabox Airlie Beach Race Week 2012 day 5 weather.

Nil Warnings current at time of writing for the race area.

Synoptic Discussion:

A high currently centred over SE Queensland and moving slowly east to northeast and is extending a weakening ridge along the remainder of the Queensland coast.

Latest analysis

Observations:

At 0600hr Hamilton Island was reporting the following conditions:
Wind 170deg at 09kn (ave) gusting to 12kn, Temp 17C, Pressure 1022hPa).

Forecast Winds for Middle of Pioneer Bay (Read Discussion below)

1000:MD140 DR(170-130) MS12 SR06-16kn chance light and variable?

1200:MD120 DR(140-100) MS08 SR02-12kn chance of 'glassout'

1400:MD100 DR(120-080) MS10 SR06-14kn could be 030-060deg?

1600:MD080 DR(100-060) MS12 SR07-16kn could be 030-060deg?

1800:MD070 DR(090-050) MS10 SR05-15kn could be 030-060deg?

Whitsunday Passage and Molle Channel: Wind speeds maybe 2 to 3kn stronger in places than those above this morning, before easing to those values above by mid morning. Localised patchy winds developing from mid-morning. Winds could be a little gusty and erratic at times around some headlands and in more constrained locations.

Note : First column is mean wind direction in deg Magnetic (MD). It is the 10min average (mean) value at a height of 10m above the water leading up to the hour quoted. The second column is the directional range (DR) of the wind direction in deg Mag. This takes into account the natural oscillation of the wind and is a function of the atmospheric stability, etc. The third column is the mean speed (MS) in knots (kn) and is the average 10min value leading up to the hour quoted at a height of 10m above the water. The last column is the wind speed range (SR) in knots and is the lowest wind speed to highest wind speed in the 10min leading up to forecast hour.

Discussion
Today could be quite fickle and testy? You should see a light W-SW land breeze inshore early this morning, being replaced quickly by a light to moderate synoptic SE’er during the morning. The direction is then expected to trend left (or move toward the east and northeast) during the afternoon. The wind could become quite patchy at times especially in Pioneer Bay from around mid-morning? A mid to late morning 'glassout' to a sea breeze is likely in Pioneer Bay today?

Forecast chart for 1600hr today.

Note: Wind will be lighter in the lee of any landmass and stronger and more gusty between islands (in channels and passages) and around some headlands.

Natural oscillations today around 15 to 25 deg away from effects of topography, tending 30 to 50 deg closer to the effects of any land mass (including islands and headlands).

Weather
Cool at first. Chance of an early light shower especially around the Islands.
A fine and mostly sunny day.
Maximum land temperature at Airlie Beach: about 22 degrees.

Wind Waves:
0.5 to 1.2 metres. Less in lee of land, more when wind wave opposes tidal current and further offshore.
(Wave heights quoted are significant wave heights).

Tide at Shute Harbour: High of 1.72m at 0742hr, Low of 0.38m at 1347hr and High of 2.32m at 2015hr.

Tidal Stream: A good ebb from mid- morning to early afternoon, becoming slack before a strong flood later this afternoon/evening. Be very careful particularly in passages, channels, close to islands, etc.
Remember: Tidal currents generally flood to the south and ebb to the north in the Whitsundays (with a multitude of local effects and eddies. So be prepared!).

Sea Temperature: about 19-20 degrees.

Outlook
Thursday: Mostly sunny. SW-SE at 8-12kn (ave) tending E-NE during the afternoon. Good chance of a morning 'glassout' followed by a 8-12kn (ave) E-NE afternoon seabreeze.

BIA 2016 Sydney Boat Show 660x82Sailutions - SeldenDeckKiwi Yachting - Lewmar 660 - 1

Related Articles

Rio 2016 - The Qualification Games - Part 2
Yachting NZ's refusal to nominate in three classes won in the first round of 2016 Olympic Qualification is unprecedented Yachting New Zealand's refusal to nominate in three classes won in the first round of 2016 Olympic Qualification is without precedent. Subject to Appeal, the Kiwis have signaled that they will reject 30% of the positions gained in the ISAF World Sailing Championships in Santander in 2014.
Posted on 22 May
Gladwell's Line - World Sailing changes tack after IOC windshift
Over the past year, we've given the International Sailing Federation (now re-badged as World Sailing) a bit of stick Over the past year, we've given the International Sailing Federation (now re-badged as World Sailing) a bit of stick. Every blow well earned over issues such as the pollution at Rio, the Israeli exclusion abomination plus a few more. But now World Sailing is getting it right.
Posted on 21 May
Rio 2016 - The Qualification Games - Part 1
Antipodean selection shenanigans aside, the Qualification system for the Rio Olympics appears to be achieving its goals Antipodean selection shenanigans aside, the Qualification system for the Rio Olympics appears to be achieving goals set in the Olympic Commission report of 2010. Around 64 countries are expected to be represented in Rio de Janeiro in August. That is a slight increase on Qingdao and Weymouth, but more importantly a full regional qualification system is now in place
Posted on 19 May
Taming the beast-a conversation with Stuart Meurer of Parker Hannifin
While AC72 cats were fast, they difficult to control, so Oracle partnered with Parker Hannifin to innovate a better way. If you watched videos of the AC72s racing in the 34th America’s Cup (2013), you’re familiar with the mind-boggling speeds that are possible when wingsail-powered catamarans switch from displacement sailing to foiling mode. While foiling is fast, there’s no disguising the platform’s inherent instability. Now, Oracle Team USA has teamed up with Parker Hannifin to innovate a better way.
Posted on 18 May
From foiling Moths to Olympic starting lines-a Q&A with Bora Gulari
Bora Gulari’s is representing the USA at the Rio 2016 Olympics in the Nacra 17 class, along with teammate Louisa Chafee. Bora Gulari (USA) has made a strong name for himself within high-performance sailing circles, with wins at the 2009 and 2013 Moth Worlds. In between, he broke the 30-knort barrier and was the 2009 US SAILING Rolex Yachtsman of the Year. His latest challenge is representing the USA at the Rio 2016 Olympics in the Nacra 17 class as skipper, along with his teammate Louisa Chafee.
Posted on 12 May
Concern for Zika at Rio Olympics is now deadly serious
Alphabet soup is one description that has thus far not been used for either Guanabara Bay, Alphabet soup is one description that has thus far not been used for either Guanabara Bay, or the Rio Olympics. Many others have, and they were apt, but things have changed. So here now we have a situation where one man, Associate Professor Amir Attaran, who does have a more than decent string of letters after his name, is bringing nearly as many facts to bear as references at the article's end
Posted on 12 May
The importance of being Alive
Since buying the stunningly pretty Reichel-Pugh canting keel 66-footer, and re-naming her Alive, Since buying the stunningly pretty Reichel-Pugh canting keel 66-footer, and re-naming her Alive, the team have lined up for a lot of things, won plenty and nabbed a record, as well. She’s presently in a yard in the Philippines having a minor refit in readiness for the Australian season. It will commence with the upcoming Brisbane to Keppel and then head sharply into this year’s Hobart.
Posted on 10 May
Zhik - The brand born of a notion, not its history
here is probably every reason that ocean rhymes with notion. Zhik’s tagline is officially marketed as Made For Water There is probably every reason that ocean rhymes with notion. Zhik’s tagline has been officially marketed as Made For Water, and this is precisely what the company has done for the last eight years before the succinct and apt strapline came from out of R&D and into mainstream visibility.
Posted on 8 May
Shape of next Volvo Ocean Race revealed at Southern Spars - Part 1
Southern Spars has been confirmed as the supplier of spars for the 2017-18 Volvo Ocean Race. In mid-April, Race Director, Jack Lloyd and Stopover Manager Richard Mason outlined the changes expected for the 40,000nm Race during a tour of Southern Spars 10,000sq metre specialist spar construction facility. A total of up to seven boats is expected to enter, but time is running out for the construction of any new boats.
Posted on 3 May
Will NZ's most successful Olympic Sailing event cop the Selection axe?
New Zealand qualified in all ten of the 2016 Olympic events at the first round of Qualifying in Santander Spain New Zealand qualified in all ten of the 2016 Olympic events at the first round of Qualifying in Santander Spain in September 2014. In two of those the RS:X Windsurfing event, New Zealand is unlikely to be represented in the Men's event, and in the Women's event, Natalia Kosinska would appear to be a borderline selection.
Posted on 2 May