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Collinson FX Market Commentary- May 28, 2013 - US and EUR on holiday

by Collinson FX on 28 May 2013
Multihull mark rounding - 2013 Auckland Cup, Day 3 © Richard Gladwell www.photosport.co.nz

Collinson FX market Commentary: May 28, 2013

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US Markets were closed overnight for Memorial Day long weekend making it a slow day on the markets. UK Markets also had a long Bank Holiday weekend so European activity was positive but low. Japanese Equities crashed 4%, at one stage of the days trade, in what was seen as a correction to the massive moves up from the extreme QE policies employed by the Bank of Japan.

The Yen also rebounded from the huge recent losses due to the revolutionary expansion of Monetary and Fiscal policy. The experiment underway in Japan will be watched closely as any sucess could see the EU adopt a similar strategy. European markets stabilised with the EUR 1.2930 and looking for some US direction when markets reopen tonight. Italy has three crucial Bond auctions this week which will be observed closely after recent gains in Spanish Bond yields.

The AUD traded 0.9635 and the KIWI 0.8050 with little local data releases or imported action from global markets. Look closely at Central banks and Housing Data from the US for this weeks direction.


Collinson FX market Commentary: May 27, 2013
Equity markets experienced a volatile week with speculation over the Fed’s QE policies and their long term sustainability. Bernanke seems to be hinting at a ‘step-down’ or ‘tapering’ as economic conditions improve which put the frighteners on investors.

The QE pump is the main driver of the risk bubbles being generated in equities and markets are slowly becoming immune. The realisation is being reflected in the slow rise of US Bonds and the Dollar despite the ocean of liquidity flooding the markets.

The rising Dollar is hitting commodities and the associated currencies. The AUD is now trading 0.9650 and the NZD 0.8080.

The DOW closed flat after an early sell-off as participants squared up for the Memorial Day long weekend in the US. The new week will continue to be dominated by Central Bank speculation and key economic data release.In the US markets will eagerly await housing data and GDP as a gauge of growth. Expect a quiet open on Monday with US markets closed!

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