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Collinson FX Market Commentary - July 21 - KIWI lifts from record lows

by Collinson FX on 21 Jul 2015
Fiji 010 - Warmer climes - Fiji - July 2015 Richard Gladwell www.photosport.co.nz
Collinson FX Market Commentary - July 21 - Click here to find out how to get CollinsonFX's free iPhone app

Equity markets opened the week with steady rises, with no major challenges from Greece or China, to upset the applecart. The underlying problem remains commodity prices, which have been under extreme pressure as global demand falls, exacerbated by the threat of interest rate rises in the US.

Yellen has confirmed a penchant for a rate rise with qualifications!? She has advocated interest rate rises assuming economic markets conform. The 'out' has given markets pause, with detrimental data triggering reaction in currency and equity markets, while increasing downward pressure on commodity prices.

Gold and Oil are leading indicators and have been in a steady decline and impacting associated currencies. The NZD bounced from recent record lows, to trade 0.6570, while the AUDUSD has slipped back to 0.7360 with the RBA minutes today crucial.

Central Bank activity has accentuated falls, by timely rate cuts, to advance falls driven by lower commodity demand. The EUR remained steady, trading 1.0840, while the GBP drifted off to 1.5600. Economic data from Europe and the US will drive equities and currencies while Chinese demand impacts commodity currencies heavily.

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