by Collinson FX
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Collinson FX market Commentary: October 24, 2012
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Equity markets plunged overnight with growing fears from Europe and disappointing corporate earnings from the US. In Europe, S&P downgraded some regional Governments in Spain while news that the economy is contracting at a greater pace than expected.
The third quarter GDP contracted at 1.7% after austerity had hit the second quarter by 1.3%! The enormous collapse in growth as a direct result of austerity measures will push panic buttons across Europe. The medicine prescribed has the collateral damage that will impact these nations socially with citizens rioting the hardship. This should serve as a stern warning to the US and the track they have been on.
It should drive voters away from the failed policies of the left with the spend and borrow mentality fueled by corrupted Keynsian economics. The EUR dropped below 1.3000 and the GBP under 1.6000 as confidence collapsed. The Reserve Bank of Canada left rates unchanged as the Fed met for their two day meeting. Expectations are for no further action reliant on QE Infinity!
The AUD fell back to 1.0250 and the KIWI to 0.8115 with risk appetite hemorrhaging with Australian Leading Index failing 0.8%.
The digestion of the Australian Mid-Year Budget update is seen as the 'shuffling of the deck chairs on board the Titanic' to many commentators!
Collinson FX market Commentary: October 22, 2012
Markets continued to retreat after Fridays big falls. In Europe, Spanish regional elections have done little to impact the EUR which traded 1.0350 and the GBP 1.6000.
Eurozone Debt to GDP rose to 87.3% which is closing fast upon the magical 100% which has lead to many individual national crises. In the US, markets were lower after further weak Corporate earnings and confidence on the slide. The focus is on the fast approaching Presidential Elections and the final Presidential debate overnight.
In Asia the mood was set with deteriorating Trade data from Japan with Exports declining over 10% and Imports on the rise.
In Australia, the Government has released a mid-year Budget update early to avoid inclusion of declining revenues form an economy impacting by falling global demand. The AUD held 1.0300 after the announcement, although does look vulnerable to the Global instability. The KIWI continues to trade around the 0.8150 levels.
Focus today will be political in Europe and especially the US!
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